Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 83% No | Open |
| Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 80% No | Open |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Polymarket | 87% No | Open |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 83% No | Open |
| Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue yesterdayBest bid 21% · best ask 22%
Top holders
- olegs74866639935465906228822387344939614806982371503507376045493150406757418241698
- roflingbets38175379283808228327034811002747441529537312086974479792536732908990840238523
- MaxEnt74866639935465906228822387344939614806982371503507376045493150406757418241698
- bensontth74866639935465906228822387344939614806982371503507376045493150406757418241698
- PrivateEquityy74866639935465906228822387344939614806982371503507376045493150406757418241698
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL21%$1.6yesterday
- SELL22%$1.62 days ago
- SELL22%$3.32 days ago
- SELL22%$6.62 days ago
- SELL22%$6.32 days ago
- BUY23%$4.82 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
188 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- .kalvaxio · 14 days ago
i wrote "sybilhunt" and got free money
- .kalvaxio · 14 days ago
i wrote "sybilhunt" and got something nice
- .kalvaxio · 14 days ago
wrote "find sybils earn bounties" and is the drop that feels like a handshake not a sales pitch
- .ybryven · 14 days ago
wrote "find sybils earn bounties" and is the reward that's just happy to be here
- .kalvaxio · 14 days ago
i wrote "sybilhunt" and got a legit good airdrop
- .ybryven · 14 days ago
wrote "find sybils earn bounties" and actually humble brags via your wallet
- satoshinakkamoto · 14 days ago
What the hell is going on here lads
- Silvervol · 21 days ago
- Helpless-Visitor · last month
Interesting one here.
- maimaiaaa · 2 months ago
Curious about your process: do you weigh price action or market context more heavily?
- ekamhlimon · 2 months ago
opensea cant lunch
- BearGrizzzy · 2 months ago
100 yes
- Gyros138 · 2 months ago
tge?
- 567GHJ8 · 2 months ago
TGE
- deepugami · 3 months ago
exactly
- crazydrops · 4 months ago
it's not about FDV anymore it's about the launch
- bauer24 · 4 months ago
why is there two $100m options?
- iamyri · 4 months ago
Wen drop guys?
- jason6666 · 4 months ago
big is comming
- yzzkhant · 4 months ago
Shit project, cannot exceed over 500M. I guarantee.
As of Sep 30, 12:14 AM UTC