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PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?

No96%
Yes4%

Price checked at

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24h volume$44
7d volume$2.4K
30d volume$6.5K
Liquidity$24.7K
Spread0%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket and PredictFun use the most liquid price source, while Opinion specifies CoinMarketCap's first-reported 5-minute chart value and explicitly defines FDV as total supply multiplied by price. The listed settlement timestamps differ or are absent, but this does not change the underlying question.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

    746 holders · 185 comments · read Sep 26, 09:51 PM UTC

  • OpinionOpen →

    Opensea FDV above ... one day after launch — $5B

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes. If the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

    read Sep 29, 10:08 PM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

    read Sep 29, 07:30 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Polymarket83% NoOpen
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?Polymarket80% NoOpen
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Polymarket80% NoOpen
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Polymarket79% NoOpen
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?Polymarket96% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders746
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments188

Best bid 4% · best ask 5%

Top holders

  • DoomPosting-Enjoyer48038385638420877977396364502718350116889021443391903481044114768441218972760
  • fwed337742946842895540103245705204391121242771062476077199058127347573343705347619
  • zkturing48038385638420877977396364502718350116889021443391903481044114768441218972760
  • Anjun7742946842895540103245705204391121242771062476077199058127347573343705347619
  • crazydrops48038385638420877977396364502718350116889021443391903481044114768441218972760

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY96%$126 days ago
  • SELL95%$21.97 days ago
  • SELL95%$577 days ago
  • SELL95%$57.17 days ago
  • SELL95%$95.17 days ago
  • BUY96%$5.79 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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188 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • .kalvaxio · 14 days ago

    i wrote "sybilhunt" and got free money

  • .kalvaxio · 14 days ago

    i wrote "sybilhunt" and got something nice

  • .kalvaxio · 14 days ago

    wrote "find sybils earn bounties" and is the drop that feels like a handshake not a sales pitch

  • .ybryven · 14 days ago

    wrote "find sybils earn bounties" and is the reward that's just happy to be here

  • .kalvaxio · 14 days ago

    i wrote "sybilhunt" and got a legit good airdrop

  • .ybryven · 14 days ago

    wrote "find sybils earn bounties" and actually humble brags via your wallet

  • satoshinakkamoto · 14 days ago

    What the hell is going on here lads

  • Silvervol · 21 days ago

  • Helpless-Visitor · last month

    Interesting one here.

  • maimaiaaa · 2 months ago

    Curious about your process: do you weigh price action or market context more heavily?

  • ekamhlimon · 2 months ago

    opensea cant lunch

  • BearGrizzzy · 2 months ago

    100 yes

  • Gyros138 · 2 months ago

    tge?

  • 567GHJ8 · 2 months ago

    TGE

  • deepugami · 3 months ago

    exactly

  • crazydrops · 4 months ago

    it's not about FDV anymore it's about the launch

  • bauer24 · 4 months ago

    why is there two $100m options?

  • iamyri · 4 months ago

    Wen drop guys?

  • jason6666 · 4 months ago

    big is comming

  • yzzkhant · 4 months ago

    Shit project, cannot exceed over 500M. I guarantee.

As of Sep 29, 10:16 PM UTC