Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Probable FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 85% No | Open |
| Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 86% No | Open |
| Probable FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 91% No | Open |
| Probable FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 92% No | Open |
| Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
| Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 89% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 07:27 PM UTC