PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch?

No98%

Yes2%

Price checked at Sep 30, 12:06 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$3.9K

Spread2%

ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria do not differ in any material way; Polymarket lists a resolution timestamp, while PredictFun does not, which does not change the underlying question.

Polymarketthis market
Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
33 holders · 7 comments · read Sep 26, 05:36 PM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Created At: 2026-03-02T19:16:52.708959356Z
read Sep 29, 10:52 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Cambria FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Polymarket	84% No	—	—	—	Open
Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Polymarket	88% No	—	—	—	Open
Cambria FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Polymarket	91% No	—	—	—	Open
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Polymarket	69% Yes	$176.9	—	—	Open
Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?	Polymarket	55% Yes	$3.8	—	—	Open
Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?	Polymarket	56% No	$0.3	—	—	Open
Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Polymarket	73% No	$0.3	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 days ago

Holders33

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments7

Best bid 97% · best ask 99%

Top holders

mewmew1109351934692646885304211980465395324814832385984933458210787182457234892130754
r88849283314928360436356066787773364101786308579163778474196855044490263156539658
planktonXD49283314928360436356066787773364101786308579163778474196855044490263156539658
Maxima49283314928360436356066787773364101786308579163778474196855044490263156539658
Dr.PNL49283314928360436356066787773364101786308579163778474196855044490263156539658

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY3%$0.56 days ago
SELL97%$94.46 days ago
BUY1%$1.415 days ago
SELL1%$0.316 days ago
SELL0%$0.222 days ago
SELL0%$0.328 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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7 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

BearGrizzzy · 2 months ago
20 yes
mewmew1 · 2 months ago
cumbria 😮‍💨😮‍💨😮‍💨🍌🍌🍌
flaneur22 · 2 months ago
then buy my under 20 mil bids
dofaqq · 7 months ago
It's no way even above 15M after 1 day
maxdawg · 7 months ago
wassup
madril · 7 months ago
hey boys
shaIom · 7 months ago
.

As of Sep 30, 12:14 AM UTC