Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 84% Yes | Open |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 68% Yes | Open |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 65% Yes | Open |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | Polymarket | 72% No | Open |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Polymarket | 64% No | Open |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 57% No | Open |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 86% Yes | Open |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 75% Yes | Open |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 59% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 19 hours agoTop holders
- -Yang-97708490357819345820318693822489554908439479799727319079967149009399807327294
- DavidTrezeguet23802583572376172543198809677289343480977448005732634433846668835725072106420
- Crazy-Voyage23802583572376172543198809677289343480977448005732634433846668835725072106420
- aa9872aa97708490357819345820318693822489554908439479799727319079967149009399807327294
- Mayday297708490357819345820318693822489554908439479799727319079967149009399807327294
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL80%$83 days ago
- SELL81%$9.73 days ago
- SELL82%$24.54 days ago
- SELL22%$115 days ago
- BUY78%$389.75 days ago
- BUY76%$22.96 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
295 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- .kalvaxio · 14 days ago
i wrote "sybilhunt" and got a small but real nice drop
- .ybryven · 14 days ago
wrote "find sybils earn bounties" and is the reward that doesnt spam your wallet
- .kalvaxio · 14 days ago
i wrote "sybilhunt" and got a small free bag
- .kalvaxio · 14 days ago
wrote "find sybils earn bounties" and is the drop that mind its own business and yours
- perpcode0072nell · 2 months ago
not launching anytime soon
- littlepig · 2 months ago
no tge on 2026
- Mission3 · 2 months ago
200M is easy
- champion786 · 2 months ago
00brjfvs
- jason6666 · 3 months ago
ez 20b
- jason6666 · 3 months ago
20b
- hahahahaa · 3 months ago
2B is fud
- Best-Radish · 4 months ago
good afternnon!
- -Yang- · 4 months ago
😮
- I-have-no-money-dont-win-against-me · 4 months ago
10B
- -Yang- · 4 months ago
2B
- xart · 4 months ago
both trash, basic 4% yield is better than this
- karcharodon · 4 months ago
why $2B NO shares = $50M yes shares ? $50M yes shares seems undervaluable
- derryit · 5 months ago
easy 2bb
- derryit · 5 months ago
wen is predict tge
- berlins · 5 months ago
BRING THE BULLLS
As of Sep 29, 09:59 PM UTC