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PolymarketOpen

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Yes50%
No50%

Price checked at

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$19.9K
Spread2%
ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?Polymarket84% YesOpen
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Polymarket68% YesOpen
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Polymarket65% YesOpen
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Polymarket72% NoOpen
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?Polymarket64% NoOpen
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?Polymarket57% NoOpen
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Polymarket86% YesOpen
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Polymarket75% YesOpen
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Polymarket59% YesOpen
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?Polymarket81% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders227
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments295

Best bid 37% · best ask 39%

Top holders

  • jacemaester4490814605255437721834697885721415304560272885486538452196463752914904507037
  • DavidTrezeguet96486880374061956275087799183117793589275559212182469204796083162703380733999
  • Clever-Sovereignty4490814605255437721834697885721415304560272885486538452196463752914904507037
  • AdolfHitter96486880374061956275087799183117793589275559212182469204796083162703380733999
  • Jiang202596486880374061956275087799183117793589275559212182469204796083162703380733999

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY38%$18.38 days ago
  • BUY37%$63.48 days ago
  • SELL36%$189 days ago
  • SELL36%$10.89 days ago
  • BUY63%$6689 days ago
  • SELL62%$1.112 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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295 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • .kalvaxio · 14 days ago

    i wrote "sybilhunt" and got a small but real nice drop

  • .ybryven · 14 days ago

    wrote "find sybils earn bounties" and is the reward that doesnt spam your wallet

  • .kalvaxio · 14 days ago

    i wrote "sybilhunt" and got a small free bag

  • .kalvaxio · 14 days ago

    wrote "find sybils earn bounties" and is the drop that mind its own business and yours

  • perpcode0072nell · 2 months ago

    not launching anytime soon

  • littlepig · 2 months ago

    no tge on 2026

  • Mission3 · 2 months ago

    200M is easy

  • champion786 · 2 months ago

    00brjfvs

  • jason6666 · 3 months ago

    ez 20b

  • jason6666 · 3 months ago

    20b

  • hahahahaa · 3 months ago

    2B is fud

  • Best-Radish · 4 months ago

    good afternnon!

  • -Yang- · 4 months ago

    😮

  • I-have-no-money-dont-win-against-me · 4 months ago

    10B

  • -Yang- · 4 months ago

    2B

  • xart · 4 months ago

    both trash, basic 4% yield is better than this

  • karcharodon · 4 months ago

    why $2B NO shares = $50M yes shares ? $50M yes shares seems undervaluable

  • derryit · 5 months ago

    easy 2bb

  • derryit · 5 months ago

    wen is predict tge

  • berlins · 5 months ago

    BRING THE BULLLS

As of Sep 29, 10:27 PM UTC