PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

MagicBlock FDV above $200M one day after launch?

No91%

Yes10%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:50 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$12.3K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MagicBlock's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are identical in all material respects; no venue-specific resolution difference is stated.

Polymarketthis market
MagicBlock FDV above $200M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MagicBlock's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
19 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 29, 10:28 PM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
MagicBlock FDV above $200M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MagicBlock's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Created At: 2026-03-02T13:40:25.0100052Z
read Sep 29, 09:09 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Polymarket	71% No	—	—	—	Open
MagicBlock FDV above $60M one day after launch?	Polymarket	77% No	—	—	—	Open
MagicBlock FDV above $40M one day after launch?	Polymarket	76% No	—	—	—	Open
MagicBlock FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Polymarket	80% No	—	—	—	Open
MagicBlock FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Polymarket	93% No	—	—	—	Open
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Polymarket	67% No	$7.9	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 49 minutes ago

Holders19

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Top holders

Podpow5729498830446223072748242242162221368193661759415632487937835662347537849127773
Mushy-Gray36815172646582017503125470827617916362104834320592740163318442877140007753908
mefirofan36815172646582017503125470827617916362104834320592740163318442877140007753908
Oklmntrader29498830446223072748242242162221368193661759415632487937835662347537849127773
Dr.PNL29498830446223072748242242162221368193661759415632487937835662347537849127773

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL90%$47.9last month
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BUY90%$430.72 months ago
BUY16%$2.82 months ago

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As of Sep 29, 11:17 PM UTC