PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?

No71%

Yes30%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:20 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$11K

Spread4%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MagicBlock's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially identical. Polymarket lists a nominal resolution time of 2027-01-01 05:00 UTC, while PredictFun lists none; this does not alter the stated question.

PredictFunOpen →
MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MagicBlock's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Created At: 2026-03-02T13:40:24.706892229Z
read Sep 29, 03:35 PM UTC
Polymarketthis market
MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MagicBlock's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
37 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 28, 12:46 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
MagicBlock FDV above $60M one day after launch?	Polymarket	77% No	—	—	—	Open
MagicBlock FDV above $40M one day after launch?	Polymarket	76% No	—	—	—	Open
MagicBlock FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Polymarket	80% No	—	—	—	Open
MagicBlock FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Polymarket	93% No	—	—	—	Open
MagicBlock FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Polymarket	91% No	—	—	—	Open
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Polymarket	67% No	$7.9	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue yesterday

Holders37

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 69% · best ask 72%

Top holders

Podpow579682684177587132536523635977289676008273949678632526009445807149929717186334
predictgeek455183499296721727122232369902302621877353805826176406114301187773542425344
sobaka.yebaka455183499296721727122232369902302621877353805826176406114301187773542425344
da66ers455183499296721727122232369902302621877353805826176406114301187773542425344
explorer2219682684177587132536523635977289676008273949678632526009445807149929717186334

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY29%$17.42 days ago
SELL71%$712 days ago
BUY69%$34.56 days ago
BUY29%$13.18 days ago
BUY29%$8.78 days ago
SELL71%$34.88 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 29, 08:33 PM UTC