Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?

No99%
Yes1%

Price checked at

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24h volume$240.6
7d volume$1.4K
30d volume$2.6K
Liquidity$65.6K
Spread0%
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 22Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures. If the official settlement price for any relevant trading day has not been published on the CME Group website within 72 hours of the final trading day (ET) of the specified period, the market will resolve based on the settlement prices published through all CME channels up to that point.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. The Polymarket entry specifies a nominal resolution timestamp and adds a 72-hour fallback if the CME settlement is not published; PredictFun does not publish those additional timing details. These are resolution-procedure differences, not differences in the underlying question.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures. If the official settlement price for any relevant trading day has not been published on the CME Group website within 72 hours of the final trading day (ET) of the specified period, the market will resolve based on the settlement prices published through all CME channels up to that point.

    172 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 26, 02:14 PM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures. Created At: 2026-03-02T13:22:55.149024631Z

    read Sep 29, 09:06 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,500 by end of December?Polymarket51% NoOpen
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $2,500 by end of December?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Polymarket92% NoOpen
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?Polymarket88% NoOpen
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Polymarket71% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders172
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 1% · best ask 1%

Top holders

  • DarthTyranus67470907213874155964024624872153104541576618618609548006058173165586850733641
  • 0x8931aa50226eea3e626c961ccffcf176dcf3a90c8289495189387907371280768775463901135551786336757263560522615414469762078679
  • fiter67470907213874155964024624872153104541576618618609548006058173165586850733641
  • Jfownsk8289495189387907371280768775463901135551786336757263560522615414469762078679
  • purpleeater67470907213874155964024624872153104541576618618609548006058173165586850733641

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY100%$1010 days ago
  • BUY0%$012 days ago
  • BUY1%$2.213 days ago
  • SELL100%$23.713 days ago
  • SELL0%$0.213 days ago
  • SELL100%$26.914 days ago

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As of Sep 29, 09:33 PM UTC