Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B?

No87%
Yes14%

Price checked at

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$278.5
Spread7%
ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Ledger's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Ledger’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket publishes a nominal settlement time of 2028-01-01 05:00 UTC, while PredictFun lists no settlement time; this does not change the underlying question. Both rely on the primary exchange’s official listing page, with the same fallback and interrupted-session rules.
  • PredictFunOpen →

    Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Ledger's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Ledger’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading. Created At: 2026-03-02T12:45:37.385212455Z

    read Sep 30, 02:15 AM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Ledger's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Ledger’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

    21 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 29, 09:57 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B?Polymarket84% NoOpen
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $1B?Polymarket76% NoOpen
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $2B?Polymarket84% NoOpen
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $6B?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $7B?Polymarket85% NoOpen
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $4B?Polymarket85% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders21
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Top holders

  • XieGuangKun92143628865453033967034141468283653199435141898606773987494303730316021504553
  • 38741100741561181409221789738798424020540493270736656405827191560568946915932620514194066954565912000243291
  • AJSV98424020540493270736656405827191560568946915932620514194066954565912000243291
  • L30L3M92143628865453033967034141468283653199435141898606773987494303730316021504553
  • b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.98424020540493270736656405827191560568946915932620514194066954565912000243291

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As of Sep 30, 02:38 AM UTC