Ledger IPO closing market cap above $2B?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Ledger's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Ledger’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
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Ledger IPO closing market cap above $2B?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Ledger's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Ledger’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading. Created At: 2026-03-02T12:45:37.096069276Z
read Sep 30, 09:59 AM UTC
- Polymarketthis market
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $2B?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Ledger's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Ledger’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
23 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 29, 10:01 PM UTC
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B? | Polymarket | 83% No | Open |
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $1B? | Polymarket | 75% No | Open |
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $6B? | Polymarket | 87% No | Open |
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $7B? | Polymarket | 85% No | Open |
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B? | Polymarket | 87% No | Open |
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $4B? | Polymarket | 86% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 13 hours agoBest bid 12% · best ask 19%
Top holders
- XieGuangKun79939408855166895512386176344350140736874378979344694154684413607898444584408
- DonaldDump8863197666849132187190506878788467565213084340660024081405661769021283972005985
- TPredictions63197666849132187190506878788467565213084340660024081405661769021283972005985
- 38741100741561181409221789738763197666849132187190506878788467565213084340660024081405661769021283972005985
- LornaPredicts63197666849132187190506878788467565213084340660024081405661769021283972005985
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
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Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 30, 11:30 AM UTC