PolymarketOpen

Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?

Yes78%

No22%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:49 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$647.7

Spread23%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?	Polymarket	93% No	—	—	—	Open
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?	Polymarket	97% No	$426.8	—	—	Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 11:20 PM UTC