PolymarketOpen
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
No97%
Yes3%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$426.8
7d volume$723.8
30d volume$1.8K
Liquidity$4K
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026? | Polymarket | 94% No | Open |
| Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? | Polymarket | 78% Yes | Open |
| Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
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As of Sep 29, 10:25 PM UTC