PolymarketOpen

GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?

No83%

Yes18%

Price checked at Sep 29, 11:59 PM UTC

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24h volume$294.7

7d volume$294.7

30d volume$436.2

Liquidity$1.2K

Spread13%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.

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As of Sep 30, 12:10 AM UTC