PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Perena FDV above $600M one day after launch?

No90%

Yes10%

Price checked at Sep 30, 02:19 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$1.2K

Spread2%

ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Perena's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Perena doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially identical; Polymarket lists a nominal resolution timestamp, while PredictFun does not, which does not change the question.

Polymarketthis market
Perena FDV above $600M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Perena's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Perena doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
21 holders · 1 comments · read Sep 29, 09:50 PM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
Perena FDV above $600M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Perena's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Perena doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Created At: 2026-03-02T13:23:09.872498973Z
read Sep 30, 10:36 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Perena FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Polymarket	75% No	—	—	—	Open
Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Polymarket	85% No	—	—	—	Open
Perena FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Polymarket	92% No	—	—	—	Open
Perena FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Polymarket	84% No	$38.3	—	—	Open
Perena FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Polymarket	85% No	$27	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 17 hours ago

Holders21

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments1

Top holders

SpicyBrwny108097819032362232168754373234866768117360060536989734427640383701915911737522
politeste113304049477935380417553458206850204486446833279779837906540540978723327515644
lakatosnapoleon108097819032362232168754373234866768117360060536989734427640383701915911737522
0x8578306a8b7bfaabb35ac82b7837767b47dcb209113304049477935380417553458206850204486446833279779837906540540978723327515644
AJSV113304049477935380417553458206850204486446833279779837906540540978723327515644

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL8%$0.523 days ago
SELL8%$0.523 days ago
SELL8%$0.523 days ago
SELL8%$0.523 days ago
BUY10%$2.523 days ago
SELL8%$023 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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1 comment

From Polymarket's own thread

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bga711 · 9 months ago
add 50m option

As of Sep 30, 02:24 PM UTC