PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch?

No84%

Yes17%

Price checked at Sep 29, 11:59 PM UTC

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24h volume$28.5

7d volume$48.5

30d volume$757.2

Liquidity$786.4

Spread3%

ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Perena's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Perena doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially identical; Polymarket lists a nominal resolution time of 2028-01-01T05:00:00Z, while PredictFun does not specify one separately.

PredictFunOpen →
Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Perena's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Perena doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Created At: 2026-03-02T13:23:09.46746331Z
read Sep 29, 09:10 PM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Perena's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Perena doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
23 holders · 1 comments · read Sep 28, 09:00 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Perena FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Polymarket	75% No	—	—	—	Open
Perena FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Polymarket	91% No	—	—	—	Open
Perena FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Polymarket	92% No	—	—	—	Open
Perena FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Polymarket	87% No	$55.5	—	—	Open
Perena FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Polymarket	84% No	$38.3	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 2 days ago

Holders23

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments1

Best bid 67% · best ask 89%

Top holders

sladky100037422959906623739758403181826118851155189883819860615777551480692267758138
AJSV30185131399329660718998386315192860138739034906060303961554230575341909210360
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.30185131399329660718998386315192860138739034906060303961554230575341909210360
PBH100037422959906623739758403181826118851155189883819860615777551480692267758138
wheatherman30185131399329660718998386315192860138739034906060303961554230575341909210360

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL16%$3.22 days ago
SELL13%$0.211 days ago
SELL15%$4.514 days ago
SELL84%$50.415 days ago
BUY85%$4.317 days ago
SELL16%$0.418 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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1 comment

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

bga711 · 9 months ago
add 50m option

As of Sep 30, 12:17 AM UTC