PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No88%

Yes12%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:58 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$639.1

Spread3%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Exponent (https://x.com/ExponentFinance) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Exponent, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The same question elsewhere

3 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially identical, including Exponent and the stated primary and secondary sources. Opinion and Polymarket list different settlement timestamps consistent with venue timing, while PredictFun provides no settlement timestamp.

OpinionOpen →
Will Exponent launch a token by ... — December 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Exponent (https://x.com/ExponentFinance) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Exponent, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
read Sep 29, 10:01 PM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Exponent (https://x.com/ExponentFinance) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Exponent, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
222 holders · 2 comments · read Sep 28, 02:52 PM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Exponent (https://x.com/ExponentFinance) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Exponent, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Created At: 2026-03-02T13:11:16.961022702Z
read Sep 29, 08:58 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Polymarket	61% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Polymarket	99% No	$2	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue yesterday

Holders222

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments2

Top holders

PaulLong920653366514446420530757895815725493239569007486273395288276692276440912456858890
Ordinary-Care53366514446420530757895815725493239569007486273395288276692276440912456858890
LindaPrice2368107051386265764130527807198143169937768144465125910287278604972579738649528275
DavidMahoney142253366514446420530757895815725493239569007486273395288276692276440912456858890
JamesNicholson8337107051386265764130527807198143169937768144465125910287278604972579738649528275

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Recent trades

SELL11%$2.16 days ago
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Discussion on Predxy

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2 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

CapyOnChain · 4 months ago
exponent will launch before 2028 in my opinion 🤭
jayfellas · 9 months ago
why can't people believe Exponent will not launch a token by March 31 lol

As of Sep 29, 10:08 PM UTC