PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?

No99%

Yes1%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:07 PM UTC

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24h volume$2

7d volume$3.4K

30d volume$5.2K

Liquidity$498

Spread2%

ResolvesOct 1, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Exponent (https://x.com/ExponentFinance) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Exponent, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The same question elsewhere

3 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. Polymarket lists settlement shortly after the deadline, while Opinion lists a later platform resolution date and PredictFun provides no resolution timestamp. The published substantive resolution criteria and source hierarchy are otherwise identical.

OpinionOpen →
Will Exponent launch a token by ... — September 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Exponent (https://x.com/ExponentFinance) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Exponent, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
read Sep 29, 09:09 PM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Exponent (https://x.com/ExponentFinance) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Exponent, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
84 holders · 2 comments · read Sep 28, 04:28 PM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Exponent (https://x.com/ExponentFinance) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Exponent, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Created At: 2026-03-02T13:11:16.804144227Z
read Sep 29, 09:00 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	88% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Polymarket	61% No	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue yesterday

Holders84

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments2

Best bid 98% · best ask 100%

Top holders

gydmasg274547691454701369310357935163763564334695186194934833301629654130407282759
qfwdsd17800402680270593380926829443314565490316076217237982552423562583216301083819
zzaqq2274547691454701369310357935163763564334695186194934833301629654130407282759
1651989897800402680270593380926829443314565490316076217237982552423562583216301083819
Terrence19927800402680270593380926829443314565490316076217237982552423562583216301083819

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL98%$593 days ago
SELL0%$0.13 days ago
SELL1%$0.13 days ago
BUY100%$15.56 days ago
BUY99%$2226 days ago
BUY99%$556 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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2 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

CapyOnChain · 4 months ago
exponent will launch before 2028 in my opinion 🤭
jayfellas · 9 months ago
why can't people believe Exponent will not launch a token by March 31 lol

As of Sep 29, 09:13 PM UTC