PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No94%

Yes7%

Price checked at Sep 30, 05:52 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$545

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Oro (https://x.com/orogoldapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Oro, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially identical. Polymarket lists a resolution time of January 1, 2027 at 05:00 UTC, while PredictFun does not publish a resolution time; this does not change the event deadline.

Polymarketthis market
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Oro (https://x.com/orogoldapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Oro, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
75 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 29, 09:44 PM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Oro (https://x.com/orogoldapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Oro, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Created At: 2026-03-02T13:35:38.765228083Z
read Sep 30, 02:44 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Polymarket	63% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Oro launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Polymarket	98% No	$204.9	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 8 hours ago

Holders75

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Top holders

JamesLozano573240736422765303154925117437399524034163813461634296326469312516337445427263104
RandyEvans993420620515966776312425095644164333560658941096342539642421056643746337588549970
ChristopherCain230940736422765303154925117437399524034163813461634296326469312516337445427263104
MatthewPatterson488840736422765303154925117437399524034163813461634296326469312516337445427263104
HeidiMedina709740736422765303154925117437399524034163813461634296326469312516337445427263104

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Recent trades

SELL91%$2.615 days ago
SELL89%$26.721 days ago
BUY92%$4.622 days ago
SELL92%$86.522 days ago
SELL93%$27.522 days ago
SELL7%$223 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 30, 06:11 AM UTC