PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Oro launch a token by September 30, 2026?

No100%

Yes1%

Price checked at Sep 30, 06:23 PM UTC

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24h volume$740.5

7d volume$1K

30d volume$2.3K

Liquidity$1.1K

Spread0%

ResolvesOct 1, 2026in 9 hours

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Oro (https://x.com/orogoldapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Oro, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially identical; Polymarket lists a settlement time of October 1, 2026 at 03:59 UTC, while PredictFun does not specify one. Both use Oro as the primary source supplemented by credible reporting.

PredictFunOpen →
Will Oro launch a token by September 30, 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Oro (https://x.com/orogoldapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Oro, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Created At: 2026-03-02T13:35:38.864819268Z
read Sep 30, 10:50 AM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Will Oro launch a token by September 30, 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Oro (https://x.com/orogoldapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Oro, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
37 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 29, 09:48 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	94% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Polymarket	57% Yes	$30	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 21 hours ago

Holders37

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 2% · best ask 3%

Top holders

pp10171271519796455116199826553016574723421432547964285734926434312017042819233468
Gyoo71271519796455116199826553016574723421432547964285734926434312017042819233468
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.27102571956575522934880803120370136202685715869522121956851057207905757644243
crossFiter27102571956575522934880803120370136202685715869522121956851057207905757644243
Dr.PNL27102571956575522934880803120370136202685715869522121956851057207905757644243

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Recent trades

BUY99%$22 days ago
BUY98%$203 days ago
BUY99%$7.15 days ago
SELL2%$0.65 days ago
BUY98%$5.96 days ago
SELL2%$0.36 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 30, 06:43 PM UTC