Will Arc launch a token by ___: December 31, 2027

Yes71%
No29%

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ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc ( https://x.com/arc ) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Resolution criteria have not been compared by a person yet. Venues may settle this question on different sources or dates.
  • Limitlessthis market

    Will Arc launch a token by ___: December 31, 2027

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc ( https://x.com/arc ) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    0 holders · read Sep 29, 07:16 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    54 holders · 26 comments · read Sep 25, 10:18 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Arc launch a token by ___: September 30, 2026Limitless99% NoOpen
Will Arc launch a token by ___: December 31, 2026Limitless84% NoOpen
Will Arc launch a token by ___: June 30, 2027Limitless62% NoOpen

Venue activity

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Best bid 68% · best ask 74%

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As of Sep 29, 11:15 PM UTC