Will Arc launch a token by ___: September 30, 2026
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc ( https://x.com/arc ) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arc launch a token by ___: December 31, 2026 | Limitless | 84% No | Open |
| Will Arc launch a token by ___: December 31, 2027 | Limitless | 71% Yes | Open |
| Will Arc launch a token by ___: June 30, 2027 | Limitless | 62% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 4 hours agoBest bid 0% · best ask 1%
Top holders
- 0xB1A36bE1Ed2F36bcC3B138CAD10366A6b5d550A8No$36.3
- 0x3Eda6446d3f458E8ce2b9C433C59D719E331fc28No$7.9
- Apurva CryptoYes$0.8
- 0x0650f62eDd8d57750239cA98A10AC300Ae547755Yes$0.2
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- —98%$7.920 days ago
- —100%$8.126 days ago
- —3%$1last month
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 30, 04:09 AM UTC