Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...: September 30

No99%
Yes1%

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ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The same question elsewhere

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  • Limitlessthis market

    Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...: September 30

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    1 holders · read Sep 29, 06:31 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    2.1K holders · 1.7K comments · read Sep 26, 08:05 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...: December 31Limitless97% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders1
Held value$0
Trades (24h)—
Trades1
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 0% · best ask 1%

Top holders

  • 0x0650f62eDd8d57750239cA98A10AC300Ae547755Yes$0

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Recent trades

  • —100%$19 days ago

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As of Sep 29, 10:56 PM UTC