How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: >16
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The same question elsewhere
2 venues carry it- PolymarketOpen →
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
73 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 25, 10:55 PM UTC
- Limitlessthis market
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: >16
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
0 holders · read Sep 29, 08:07 PM UTC
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: <5 | Limitless | 50% Yes | Open |
| How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 5-6 | Limitless | 50% No | Open |
| How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 11-12 | Limitless | 99% No | Open |
| How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 7-8 | Limitless | 98% No | Open |
| How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 9-10 | Limitless | 99% No | Open |
| How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 13-14 | Limitless | 50% No | Open |
| How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 15-16 | Limitless | 50% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 1 hour agoBest bid 0% · best ask 2%
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As of Sep 29, 09:22 PM UTC