Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Vinícius Júnior

No99%
Yes1%

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ResolvesNov 1, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football ( https://www.francefootball.fr/ )

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Limitless lists a November 1, 2026 resolution time, Polymarket lists October 31, 2026, and PredictFun lists no resolution time; these are settlement-time differences for the same underlying fact. All provide the same France Football source and December 31 fallback rule.
  • Limitlessthis market

    Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Vinícius Júnior

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football ( https://www.francefootball.fr/ )

    0 holders · read Sep 29, 07:25 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

    223 holders · 1.1K comments · read Sep 27, 11:46 AM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

    read Sep 29, 07:56 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Kylian MbappéLimitless96% NoOpen
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Erling HaalandLimitless99% NoOpen
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Ousmane DembéléLimitless99% NoOpen
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Lionel MessiLimitless96% NoOpen
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Lamine YamalLimitless54% NoOpen
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: RodriLimitless98% NoOpen
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry KaneLimitless58% NoOpen

Venue activity

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Best bid 0% · best ask 1%

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As of Sep 29, 09:29 PM UTC