Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Erling Haaland

No99%
Yes1%

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ResolvesNov 1, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football ( https://www.francefootball.fr/ )

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. All use France Football as the primary source; Limitless and Polymarket/Opinion/PredictFun specify an “Other” outcome if no winner is declared, while Myriad resolves all outcomes to No, which is equivalent for Haaland’s Yes/No proposition. Settlement timestamps differ, and Myriad additionally describes source-failure or indefinite-cancellation procedures.
  • Limitlessthis market

    Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Erling Haaland

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football ( https://www.francefootball.fr/ )

    0 holders · read Sep 29, 07:43 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

    439 holders · 1.1K comments · read Sep 27, 03:28 PM UTC

  • OpinionOpen →

    Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 — Erling Haaland

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

    read Sep 29, 09:15 PM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

    read Sep 29, 07:53 PM UTC

  • MyriadOpen →

    Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

    This market predicts the winner of the 2026 Ballon d'Or, awarded annually by France Football to the best men's footballer of the year. ### **Market Dates:** - **Market Period:** From the publication date through December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Market Close:** December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Resolution Time:** Upon official announcement of the 2026 Ballon d'Or winner, expected in late October 2026. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - Resolves to "**Yes**" for the player who is officially declared the winner of the 2026 Ballon d'Or, provided he is listed as an outcome in this market. - Resolves to "**No**" for all other players. ### **Resolution Details:** - This market will only be resolved through official results posted by France Football. - In case the resolution source fails to upload, a consensus of credible reporting can be used to resolve. - If no 2026 Ballon d'Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No" for all outcomes. ### **Cancellation Conditions:** - The resolution source is compromised or unavailable for prolonged periods. - The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is cancelled or postponed indefinitely. - Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively. If the market is cancelled, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.

    read Sep 29, 09:29 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Kylian MbappéLimitless96% NoOpen
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Ousmane DembéléLimitless99% NoOpen
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Lionel MessiLimitless96% NoOpen
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Vinícius JúniorLimitless99% NoOpen
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Lamine YamalLimitless54% NoOpen
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: RodriLimitless98% NoOpen
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry KaneLimitless58% NoOpen

Venue activity

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Best bid 0% · best ask 1%

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As of Sep 29, 09:30 PM UTC