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PolymarketOpen

Will C3.ai announce bankruptcy before 2027?

No94%
Yes6%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$2.2K
Spread4%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?Polymarket91% NoOpen
Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?Polymarket90% NoOpen
Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will JetBlue Airways announce bankruptcy before 2027?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQePolymarket98% NoOpen
Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?Polymarket90% NoOpen
Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will JC Penney announce bankruptcy before 2027?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Xerox announce bankruptcy before 2027?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Lucid announce bankruptcy before 2027?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Rivian announce bankruptcy before 2027?Polymarket97% NoOpen

Venue activity

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Comments22

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22 comments

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  • Ravager · 2 months ago

    The bankruptcy math for Beyond Meat doesn't work for a 2026 filing for a number of reasons: - $205.8M cash as of March 28, plus a $100M facility. - Q1 cash burn was only $11.8M (even at the worse 2025 rate of ~$36M/quarter, they end 2026 with $90M+). - The $1.1B 2027 convert wall is GONE as it was exchanged in Oct 2025 for 2030 notes, and interest can be paid in kind (no cash coupon pressure). - No debt maturities until 2030. - Noteholders converted another $62.6M into equity after Q1, i.e. creditors are choosing stock over their senior claim. You don't do that if you expect a filing in months.

  • sE3p0 · 7 months ago

    Please add Take-Two Interactive to the list.

  • Catherina · 8 months ago

    Everyone is talking about NVIDIA's trillions, but look at the cash burn on the actual AI labs

  • sE3p0 · 9 months ago

    And Twitch

  • Lone-Anorak · 9 months ago

    Someone should add Stellantis!

  • Sonthey · 10 months ago

    iRobot

  • Unusual-Disengagement · 10 months ago

    everyone +1

  • Unusual-Disengagement · 10 months ago

    the one everyone uses

  • Shocked-Dissonance · 10 months ago

    blast you greasy pattern-noticing deniers

  • Jumbo-Wife · 10 months ago

    every single time you check the names

  • Watchful-Diplomacy · 10 months ago

    thanks

  • Watchful-Diplomacy · 10 months ago

    does anyone have a new dashboard pls

  • Glittering-Abundance · 10 months ago

    tysm

  • Glittering-Abundance · 10 months ago

    drop the og site cuz this one is highway robbery

  • Naive-Tenet · 10 months ago

    ye its that pornhu​​b​​​.​​c​o​​m​​ guy

  • Fake-Stepdaughter · 10 months ago

    yo whos update proc

  • Edible-Glider · 10 months ago

    We need some liquidity you guys

  • Turmer · 10 months ago

    MicroStrategy

  • Uniform-Hierarchy · 10 months ago

    thank you bose

  • Calculating-Chandelier · 10 months ago

    ye its that pornhu​​b​​​.​​c​o​​m​​ bose guy

As of Sep 30, 05:20 PM UTC