Databricks IPO before 2027?

No97%
Yes3%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$2K
Spread4%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Myriad additionally specifies Nasdaq as a resolution source and detailed cancellation/successor rules; Polymarket and PredictFun specify official announcements or credible-reporting consensus and resolve by the stated deadline (Polymarket publishes the equivalent UTC timestamp).
  • Polymarketthis market

    Databricks IPO before 2027?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

    207 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 25, 06:24 PM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Databricks IPO before 2027?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting. Created At: 2026-03-02T13:38:13.322736003Z

    read Sep 29, 05:05 PM UTC

  • MyriadOpen →

    Will Databricks IPO before 2027?

    ### **Market Dates:** - **Market Period:** From the publication date until December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Market Close:** December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET (4:59 AM UTC, January 1, 2027). - **Resolution Deadline:** This market will resolve once results are confirmed via official company announcements or a consensus of credible news reporting following the close of the period. Individual outcomes may resolve early if the corresponding company completes its IPO before the market close date. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - Each outcome resolves to “**Yes**” if the corresponding company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) — the first sale of its stock to the public on any recognized stock exchange — by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - Each outcome resolves to “**No**” if the corresponding company has not completed an IPO by that deadline. - If a listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity capable of conducting an IPO before the market resolves, that outcome will resolve to “No”. Transactions in which the company continues as a parent or successor entity will not alone trigger a “No” resolution. ### **Cancellation Conditions:** - An individual outcome will be cancelled if the underlying company ceases to be capable of an independent IPO due to a merger, acquisition, bankruptcy, or dissolution, and no clear successor entity exists. - If a definitive outcome cannot be determined by the resolution deadline due to conflicting or unavailable reporting. If a market is cancelled, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of their outstanding shares.

    read Sep 29, 09:25 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Celonis IPO before 2027?Polymarket92% NoOpen
Vanta IPO before 2027?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Deel IPO before 2027?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Remote IPO before 2027?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Glean IPO before 2027?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?Polymarket96% NoOpen
ByteDance IPO before 2027?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Canva IPO before 2027?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Ledger IPO before 2027?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Perplexity IPO before 2027?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Polymarket83% YesOpen
Discord IPO before 2027?Polymarket88% NoOpen
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Waymo IPO before 2027?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Ramp IPO before 2027?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Rippling IPO before 2027?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Anduril IPO before 2027?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Epic Games IPO before 2027?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Revolut IPO before 2027?Polymarket98% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders207
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 1% · best ask 4%

Top holders

  • Cold-Angstrom102271901685490192263075873121616098873678391076849731521197100584061690427842
  • jcsberger50724669002565293593544339682761909412469662559993685411521730063634887909208
  • xanx102271901685490192263075873121616098873678391076849731521197100584061690427842
  • cowcat50724669002565293593544339682761909412469662559993685411521730063634887909208
  • Defiant-Governance50724669002565293593544339682761909412469662559993685411521730063634887909208

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As of Sep 29, 09:54 PM UTC