PolymarketOpen

Anduril IPO before 2027?

No97%
Yes3%

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24h volume$87.2
7d volume$1.1K
30d volume$7.1K
Liquidity$3.3K
Spread4%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Celonis IPO before 2027?Polymarket91% NoOpen
Vanta IPO before 2027?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Deel IPO before 2027?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Remote IPO before 2027?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Glean IPO before 2027?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Databricks IPO before 2027?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?Polymarket96% NoOpen
ByteDance IPO before 2027?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Canva IPO before 2027?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Ledger IPO before 2027?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Perplexity IPO before 2027?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Polymarket84% YesOpen
Discord IPO before 2027?Polymarket89% NoOpen
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Waymo IPO before 2027?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Ramp IPO before 2027?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Rippling IPO before 2027?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Epic Games IPO before 2027?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Revolut IPO before 2027?Polymarket98% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders193
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 2% · best ask 3%

Top holders

  • BTCisaHarshMistress41360386508824407909687688676013929824439320010172810067606132053436708047510
  • jcsberger9972947637227459725887723519702818686033420825494738974426889488274873919979
  • cowcat9972947637227459725887723519702818686033420825494738974426889488274873919979
  • domainlisting9972947637227459725887723519702818686033420825494738974426889488274873919979
  • tourists9972947637227459725887723519702818686033420825494738974426889488274873919979

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL2%$14 days ago
  • BUY97%$709.34 days ago
  • SELL96%$2.79 days ago
  • SELL96%$18.210 days ago
  • BUY96%$195.110 days ago
  • BUY96%$2K12 days ago

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As of Sep 29, 10:36 PM UTC