PolymarketOpen

Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

No100%

Yes0%

Price checked at Sep 29, 11:37 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$25.5K

Spread0%

ResolvesNov 4, 2026next month

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Polymarket	72% No	$18.4K	—	—	Open
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Polymarket	73% Yes	$7.7K	—	—	Open

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Comments14

Discussion on Predxy

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14 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

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Muizademola · 5 days ago
That is good bro
ocpna · 7 days ago
groceeries cost $1000 in alaska bro
hdtomo · 10 days ago
Oof
Norco66 · last month
Check todays primary results 😂😂
ChinMusic · 3 months ago
No way Peltola wins this. Easy money.
Well-Documented-Soup · 5 months ago
Darden is Going to win
hdtomo · 6 months ago
bingo
i2dt · 7 months ago
I bet next polling shows Peltola up 5+
HDTomo-229 · 7 months ago
Seems to echo a market that knows Mary Peltola has S tier appeal but isn't willing to commit until polling comes out, which has been starved since Peltola first went for the nomination. It echoes Hannah Spencer over here in the UK being priced equal to Reform UK before resulting in a stonking majority, largely due to fog of war.
JustTheFacts · 9 months ago
New - Senate poll - Alaska 🔵 Peltola 48% 🔴 Sullivan (Inc) 46% Alaska survey #B - RV - 1/11
JustTheFacts · 9 months ago
Flip
myrinsk · 9 months ago
peltola sweep
guluh · 9 months ago
gg bj cu
Afris · 9 months ago
She could become Queen of Alaska if she really tried in this climate

As of Sep 29, 11:46 PM UTC