Hanfmann vs Majchrzak: Kamil Majchrzak wins
Result
Settled on Oct 7, 2026. Markets gave it 51% the day before.
This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.
1%Kamil Majchrzak
0 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 3 venues
24h volume$1M
Total volume$1.1M
Markets33 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 6, 202620 days ago
First seenOct 5, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
3 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak
100% Yesno volume publishedResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country - Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak
100% Yannick Hanfmann$0 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country - Kamil Majchrzak wins
99% No$1M 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 25, 07:22 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.