Will United States win on 2026-10-03?
39%Yes
3 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
24h volume$542.5
Total volume$542.5
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 4, 2026in 2 days
First seenSep 20, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Predict.funWill United States win on 2026-10-03?62% Nono volume publishedResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
- PolymarketWill United States win on 2026-10-03?61% No$542.5 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
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As of Oct 2, 05:11 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.