SettledPolitics
Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.4 on Oct 18, 2026? Below 38.4%
Result
Settled on Oct 18, 2026. Markets gave it 10% the day before.
This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.
1%Below 38.4%
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$66.4K
Total volume$87.2K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 18, 20266 days ago
First seenOct 17, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.4 on Oct 18, 2026? Below 38.4%
99% No$66.4K 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 24, 12:11 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.