SettledPolitics
Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.1 on Oct 9, 2026? Below 38.1%
Result
Settled on Oct 10, 2026. Markets gave it 84% the day before.
This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.
99%Below 38.1%
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$68.3K
Total volume$133.6K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 9, 202615 days ago
First seenOct 8, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.1 on Oct 9, 2026? Below 38.1%
99% Below 38.1%$68.3K 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 25, 12:40 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.