SettledPolitics
Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.1 on Oct 23, 2026? Below 38.1%
Result
Settled on Oct 24, 2026. Markets gave it 1% the day before.
This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.
1%Below 38.1%
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$1.5K
Total volume$37.7K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 23, 20262 days ago
First seenOct 23, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.1 on Oct 23, 2026? Below 38.1%
99% No$1.5K 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
More in Politics
- 1Texas Senate Election Winner: Ken Paxton (R)38%Yes2 pts
- 2U.S House Midterm Winner: Democratic Party90%Yes1 pts
- 3Texas Senate winner?: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas? Ken Paxton36%Ken Paxton1 pts
- 4Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)64%Yes1 pts
- 52026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House8%Yes0 pts
As of Oct 25, 11:08 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.