Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
3%Yes
0 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$458.1
Total volume$69.3K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 8, 2027in 3 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- PolymarketWill there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?97% No$458.1 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
More in Science
- 1Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?9%Yes2 pts
- 2Hurricane Nolo category?: Will Nolo become a Category 5 hurricane? Category 5 or above3%Category 5 or above0 pts
- 3What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?: Will Fay be the first named hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?2%Fay4 pts
- 4IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?4%Yes1 pts
- 5Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?20%Yes3 pts
As of Sep 29, 09:40 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.