SettledPolitics
Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be above 8.5 on Sep 30, 2026? Above 8.5%
Result
Settled on Sep 30, 2026.
This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.
51%Above 8.5%
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$10.6K
Total volume$12.8K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesSep 30, 202624 days ago
First seenSep 30, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be above 8.5 on Sep 30, 2026? Above 8.5%
51% Above 8.5%$10.6K 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 25, 12:41 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.