SettledPolitics
Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be above 8.3 on Oct 22, 2026? Above 8.3%
Result
Settled on Oct 22, 2026. Markets gave it 6% the day before.
This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.
99%Above 8.3%
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$3K
Total volume$3.4K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 22, 20262 days ago
First seenOct 21, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be above 8.3 on Oct 22, 2026? Above 8.3%99% Above 8.3%$3K 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 24, 07:29 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.