Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.
0%Yes
0 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$29.8
Total volume$62.3K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 1, 202614 hours ago
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- PolymarketWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?100% No$29.8 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
As of Oct 1, 06:02 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.