Will the S&P 500 be between 7750 and 7774.9999 on Oct 5, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,750 to 7,774.9999

Result

Settled on Oct 6, 2026. Markets gave it 11% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

99%7,750 to 7,774.9999
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$16.4K
Total volume$16.4K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 5, 202619 days ago
First seenOct 3, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 3Oct 3Oct 4Oct 5Oct 6Down 85 points on Oct 5
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 24, 05:20 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.