Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?
85%Yes
3 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
24h volume$5K
Total volume$41.7K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- PolymarketWill the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?85% Yes$5K 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
- Predict.funWill the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?no volume publishedResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
More in AI
- 1Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Gemini34%Gemini1 pts
- 2Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?39%Yes12 pts
- 3Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?61%Yes11 pts
- 4Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? ChatGPT10%ChatGPT3 pts
- 5Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?83%Yes4 pts
As of Oct 2, 12:03 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.