Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?
68%Yes
12 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
24h volume$1.9K
Total volume$39.3K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
Resolves—
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- PolymarketWill the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?68% Yes$1.9K 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
- Predict.funWill the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?no volume publishedResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
More in AI
- 1When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Oct 10, 20262%Before Oct 10, 20261 pts
- 2Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?1%Yes1 pts
- 3When will Trump officially rename AI?: Will Trump officially rename AI before Oct 1, 2026?72%Before Oct 1, 202645 pts
- 4Trump renames AI by December 31?77%Yes21 pts
- 5Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Gemini10%Gemini1 pts
As of Sep 29, 06:08 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.