Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31?

24h volume$155
Total volume$10.1K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 11, 2027in 3 months
First seenOct 1, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1Oct 7Oct 13Oct 19Oct 25Up 26 points on Oct 2Down 24 points on Oct 5Down 22 points on Oct 9Up 22 points on Oct 16Down 31 points on Oct 20
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket69¢145$145+$44.93 1.4×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 25, 03:48 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.