Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $519,000 and $521,000 on December 31?

24h volume$10
Total volume$4K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 11, 2027in 3 months
First seenOct 1, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1Oct 7Oct 13Oct 18Oct 24Down 41 points on Oct 2Down 13 points on Oct 5
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket3.9¢2,564$2,564+$2,464 25.6×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 24, 12:14 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.