Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 22?

100%Yes
2 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
24h volume$333
Total volume$19K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 22, 20263 days ago
First seenOct 20, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24Down 72 points on Oct 21Down 14 points on Oct 22
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 25, 02:26 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.