Loading…
Predxy

Search

Type at least two characters.

SettledScienceUnited StatesUnited States

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 16?

Result

Resolved Yes on Oct 17, 2026. Markets gave it 91% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

100%Yes
0 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 2 of 2 venues
24h volume$4.2K
Total volume$9.3K
Markets22 venues, 2 priced
ResolvesOct 16, 20268 days ago
First seenOct 14, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 15, 01:22 PMOct 16, 06:59 AMOct 17, 12:35 AMOct 17, 06:12 PMUp 88 points on Oct 16
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket US. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in Science

View category
  1. 1Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026: Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 97.5 TWh?
    64%Above 97.5 TWh11 pts
  2. 2US Measles Cases in 2026? — Above 5000
    94%Yes0 pts
  3. 3What named storms will be hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific this year?: Will Yolanda be categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
    38%Yolanda28 pts
  4. 4What named storms will be hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific this year?: Will Zeke be categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
    39%Zeke32 pts
  5. 5What named storms will be hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific this year?: Will Xavier be categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
    8%Xavier84 pts

As of Oct 24, 10:42 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.