Will the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation before Oct 1, 2026?
1%Before Oct 1, 2026
6 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$20
Total volume$8.7K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJul 8, 2027in 9 months
First seenSep 7, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- KalshiWill the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation before Oct 1, 2026?99% No$20 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
As of Sep 29, 09:38 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.