Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?
53%Yes
0 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$1.7K
Total volume$9.6K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 4, 2026next month
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- PolymarketWill the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?53% Yes$1.7K 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
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As of Sep 29, 07:30 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.