São Paulo Governor winner?: Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
100%Tarcísio de Freitas
0 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
24h volume$1.9K
Total volume$180.5K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 4, 2026in 5 days
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- KalshiSão Paulo Governor winner?: Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?97% Tarcísio de Freitas$0 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
- PolymarketWill Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?100% Yes$1.9K 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
More in Politics
- 1Which party will win the U.S. House?: Will Republicans win the House in 2026? Republican Party9%Republican Party0 pts
- 22026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?: Will House Control be Republican AND Senate Control be Democratic for Feb 2027? R-House, D-Senate1%R-House, D-Senate0 pts
- 3Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Rahm Emanuel2%Yes0 pts
- 4Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?2%Yes0 pts
- 5US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?32%Yes1 pts
As of Sep 29, 09:36 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.