Will Russia name the pathogen in the Irkutsk pneumonia case in Oct 2026?: Will Russia name the pathogen behind the Irkutsk plague lab death before Nov 1, 2026? Yes
1%Yes
5 ptsover 24h
24h volume$7
Total volume$17.6K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 8, 2026in 15 days
First seenOct 5, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3¢ | 3,333 | $3,333 | +$3,233 33.3× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Will Russia name the pathogen in the Irkutsk pneumonia case in Oct 2026?: Will Russia name the pathogen behind the Irkutsk plague lab death before Nov 1, 2026? Yes99% No$7 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 25, 02:45 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.